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Decision Signals (v1)

These signals convert raw anomalies into actionable intelligence.


Volatility Regime Alert

Indicates unstable demand conditions where short-term forecasting accuracy is reduced.

Trigger:

  • Repeated volatile_demand anomalies
  • Persistence ≥ emerging

Action:

  • Reduce forecast reliance
  • Increase operational flexibility

Sustained Demand Pressure

Indicates prolonged elevated demand beyond normal baselines.

Trigger:

  • prolonged_peak anomalies
  • Persistence ≥ emerging

Action:

  • Treat as temporary baseline shift
  • Adjust staffing and supply assumptions

Forecast Reliability Drop

Indicates disagreement between demand drivers (weather, transport, events).

Trigger:

  • Volatility + driver mismatch
  • Confidence dispersion increase

Action:

  • Switch to conservative decision mode