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DSC-3 vs. D-Wave Advantage2 — Industrial Benchmark Comparison (2024–2026)

DOI License: CC BY 4.0 Release: v0.15.2-paper Paper: 40 pp Reproducible: SHA-256 manifest

A reproducible classical reference for D-Wave Advantage2's 2024–2026 industrial benchmarks. Ground-state 3D ±J Ising at N = 10⁶ spins on a $1.57/hour GPU droplet, with SHA-256-pinned artefacts and a "Benchmark Gap" audit.


The headline result, at a glance

DSC-3 beats matched-compute-intensity SA-only on every fully-connected MaxCut cell we measured up to N = 10,000 vertices — over 2× past D-Wave Advantage2's 4,400-qubit embedding ceiling. σ-error bars confirm the advantage is many standard deviations from zero on every cell.

B3 MaxCut beyond-embedding probe

Cost / power / energy — single-shot bar chart

D-Wave Advantage2 capex sits at $10–15M list; DSC-3 runs on a $1.57/hour cloud droplet (or a ~$5K consumer workstation). The ratios on capex, $/solve, power, and energy span 10² to 10⁶.

Cost comparison D-Wave vs DSC-3

The "Benchmark Gap"

Across all six benchmarks we examined, every D-Wave reference is missing at least one of four reproducibility artefacts (instances, per-instance wall-times, classical baseline pipeline, quantum/classical work split). This paper releases all four for every benchmark it runs.

Benchmark Gap: opacity vs reproducibility

Scale ceiling on the $1.57/hour droplet

DSC-3 reaches a one-million-spin 3D ±J ground-state approximation on a $1.57/hour cloud droplet ($n=4$ seeds, fast preset, $E/E_{\rm LB}=0.5581$ — preset-limited). The same engine on a $700 consumer Blackwell card produces seed-identical results to within FP32 noise.

B1 ceiling push


Headline findings

Axis D-Wave Advantage2 DSC-3 (this work) Ratio
Max embeddable problem size 4,400 qubits 1,000,000 (droplet, n=4 seeds) ~227×
Hardware capex / hourly $10–15M list $1.57/hour droplet 10⁴–10⁵×
Power continuous 12.5 kW 0.30 kW 42×
$/solve at N=1,728 $0.05–$1.30 (Leap floor) $0.024 10²–10⁵×
3D EA quality vs. literature sampling, not GS Hartmann ±1% (L ≤ 40) matched
MaxCut Δ vs SA at N=10,000 not embeddable +0.13–0.20%, σ ≤ 0.02% DSC-3 only
Cryptanalysis (SHA/AES/RSA/GNFS) not addressed production encoders DSC-3 only
Quantum-coherent sampling yes (Science 2025) no (classical engine) D-Wave only

What's in this repository

  • main.pdf — the paper, 40 pages, ~9 figures, ~22 tables
  • main.tex — full LaTeX source
  • results/*.json — every measured datapoint cited in the paper (SHA-256 manifest in Appendix E of main.pdf)
  • figures/*.pdf — every plotted result
  • tables/*.tex — generated LaTeX tables (regenerable via aggregate_results.py)
  • make_plots.py — regenerates all figures from results/*.json
  • aggregate_results.py — regenerates all tables from results/*.json
  • run_*.sh / run_*.bat — the exact commands used on the droplet + workstation
  • AUDIT*.md, PLAN*.md — methodology audit trail and operational-section drafting notes

Six benchmarks covered

Bench D-Wave reference DSC-3 result Fidelity
B1 3D ±J Ising spin glass King et al. Science 2025 (sampling, N≈5000) Ground-state arg-min, N ≤ 10⁶, ±1% Hartmann at L≤40 matched-class
B2 Currency arbitrage Cococcioni et al. 2025 (Advantage2 Prototype 2.6) Hamiltonian-cycle variant, 100% feas at N≤8, +5–22% recovered profit matched-class
B3 Stride 45-instance + extension Booth et al. 2024 (10× metaheuristic claim) Matched-spec ensembles + N=5k/10k beyond-embedding probe with σ-error bars matched-spec
B4 SCM (5 verticals) SCM survey 2025–2026 (12–18% cost reduction) Uncapacitated Facility Location (1 of 5); +5–30% gap to exact DP partial
B5 Drug discovery + PoQW JT/D-Wave LLM-molecular-generation; PoQW conceptual Fragment-selection sub-problem (0–5% gap to DP); r=4 SHA-256 preimage matched-class / functional-class
B6 Cryptanalysis differentiator no D-Wave publication SHA-256, AES, RSA-256 Boneh–Durfee, GNFS Phase C+ encoders capability-only

The Benchmark Gap

A pattern across all six benchmarks: every D-Wave reference is missing ≥1 of four reproducibility artefacts (instances, per-instance wall-times, classical baseline pipeline, quantum/classical work split). This paper releases all four for every benchmark it runs, with SHA-256 manifest in Appendix E. See §15.4 for the full synthesis.

Reproducibility

Every numerical claim in the paper traces to a results/*.json file. SHA-256 digests are pinned in Appendix E of main.pdf. To verify:

sha256sum results/*.json

Then compare against the manifest in Appendix E.

Reproducing the benchmarks end-to-end

The full pipeline (build + run + aggregate + plot + compile) is described in Appendix A of main.pdf. In short, given the isomorphic-engine Rust crate built with --features gpu,full,tsp:

# B1 3D Ising production preset, L = 4..20
./target/release/examples/dwave_b1_tfim_spin_glass \
  --L 4,6,8,10,12,14,16,18,20 --seeds 0,1,2,3 --preset production \
  --with-gpu --sa-baseline \
  --out results/b1_full.json

# B3 Stride 45-instance + N=5k/10k beyond-embedding
./target/release/examples/dwave_b3_stride \
  --seeds 0,1,2,3 --preset quality --with-gpu --gpu-batch 4 \
  --maxcut-sizes 20,40,60,100,200,500,1000,2000 \
  --out results/b3_gpu_batched.json

./target/release/examples/dwave_b3_stride \
  --only maxcut --maxcut-sizes 5000,10000 \
  --seeds 0,1,2 --preset production --with-gpu --gpu-batch 4 \
  --out results/b3_maxcut_xlarge.json

Then:

python aggregate_results.py    # JSON → LaTeX tables
python make_plots.py           # JSON → matplotlib PDFs
pdflatex main.tex              # Rebuild paper.pdf

Authors

Bryan W. Daugherty¹, Gregory Ward¹, Shawn Ryan¹ ¹Origin Neural — https://originneural.ai

Evaluate DSC-3 on your own workload

Three paths, in order of effort:

Path Effort What you get
Live REST endpointhttps://dsc3.originneural.ai/ Zero install POST /v1/solve and POST /v1/mega-benchmark accept QUBO / Ising problems up to N = 5 × 10⁸ spins. Same engine binary as this paper.
Replicate the paper ~30 min on a comparable GPU droplet Follow Appendix A of main.pdf or the run_*.sh scripts in this repo. Verify your SHA-256s against Appendix E.
Adapt to your workload Hours–days Map your problem to Ising/QUBO using one of 16 encoders in the parent isomorphic-engine repo; run the same DSC-3 ensemble; compare to your existing classical solver at matched compute budget.

More


Citation

Zenodo DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.20192275

@misc{daugherty_ward_ryan_dsc3_dwave_2026,
  author    = {Bryan W. Daugherty and Gregory Ward and Shawn Ryan},
  title     = {A Reproducible Classical Reference for D-Wave Advantage2's
               2024--2026 Industrial Benchmarks: Ground-state 3D $\pm J$
               Ising at $N=10^{6}$ Spins on a \$1.57/Hour GPU Droplet},
  publisher = {Zenodo},
  year      = {2026},
  month     = may,
  doi       = {10.5281/zenodo.20192275},
  url       = {https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20192275},
  note      = {GitHub: \url{https://github.com/OriginNeuralAI/DSC3-DWave-Comparison-2026}}
}

What this paper does not claim

  • That classical methods invalidate D-Wave's sampling-class quantum supremacy demonstration. We solve a different problem (ground-state search).
  • That DSC-3 outperforms every classical algorithm at every scale. Concorde and LKH3 dominate pure TSP; exact DP dominates Knapsack; Goemans–Williamson dominates MaxCut at small–medium scale.
  • That this paper exhausts the relevant benchmarks. Four of five SCM verticals, the drug-discovery LLM-training pipeline, and reverse-annealing protocols remain future work.

Related work

  • Companion paper: DSC-3 Benchmark Suite: 500 Million Spins on a Single GPU — separate single-instance capability demonstration at N = 5×10⁸. Live demo at https://dsc3.originneural.ai/.

License

Source code and result JSON: see the parent isomorphic-engine repository. LaTeX source and PDF: released for review and citation; please contact authors before re-using figures or quoting verbatim.

Contact

Bryan W. Daugherty, Gregory Ward, Shawn Ryan — Origin Neural https://originneural.ai

About

DSC-3 vs D-Wave Advantage2: reproducible classical reference for 2024-2026 industrial QA benchmarks. Ground-state 3D ±J Ising at N=10^6 spins on a $1.57/hr GPU droplet, with SHA-256-pinned artefacts and a 'Benchmark Gap' audit.

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